- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | FSUN | TBS
The Tampa Bay Rays (+160) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Rays are 54-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 48-58 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Joe Boyle 1-0, 1.42 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 11-4, 2.61 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 +100 | +160 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -120 | -190 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+17.10 Units / 190% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 90 games (+15.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 away games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 away games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 away games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+13.52 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games at home (+3.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 49-56 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -5.81% ROI).
- 54-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.07 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 42-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.4 Units / -21.43% ROI
- 61-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.4 Units / 13.17% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 48-58 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -9.38% ROI).
- 57-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -10.42% ROI
- 47-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.85% ROI
- 55-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.32 Units / 2.82% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ryan McMahon (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan McMahon (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (NYY) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Joe Boyle (OAK) | 4.5 -118 | 4.5 -110 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Joe Boyle over the last 14 days — 3rd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Joe Boyle in his last two appearances — tied for 11th best among among 237 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (16/104) against Joe Boyle this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Joe Boyle has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to August 13th, 2024 — tied with Jose Quintana for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
23 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
23 of Max Fried’s 44 breaking pitch strikeouts (52%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 7-42 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Rays are 16-169 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rays are 35-5 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are 18-107 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 62-35 (.639) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rays (Ranks 10th runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 25-14 (.641) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rays (Ranks 10th runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OBP of .329 (2,896 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters are slugging just .308 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .790 (1,120 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Yankees hitters are slugging .449 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 86 double plays in 681 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 11% of batters over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 7.11 (100.0 IP) on the road this month (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
More MLB Reading:
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