- The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (-145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+120) on Monday, July 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 64-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-51 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -110 | -145 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 29 games (+18.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 6.5 +145 | 6.5 -190 |
| Tyler Glasnow | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 58 of their last 108 games (+5.05 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 108 games (+1.80 Units / 1% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games at home (+5.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 75 games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 55-53 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 0.54% ROI).
- 64-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 1.04% ROI
- 56-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 2.47% ROI
- 48-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -11.25% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 54-51 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.88% ROI).
- 55-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.31% ROI
- 47-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 54-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.59% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .080 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (24/32) against Tyler Glasnow — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a first-pitch strike rate of 82% (42/51) over the last 14 days (2 games) — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 58% (53 SO in 91 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (130/344) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 52% (134/260) against Domingo German with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .113 (12 GB hits out of 106 GBs) against Domingo German this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (130/344) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Rays are 29-8 (.784) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Rays are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are 23-10 (.697) after a home win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .543.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 28-56 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Yankees are 35-10 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .515 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .245 (98 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .553 (98 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Rays have scored first in 61% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 244 walks in 2,349 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .212 this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,973 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Knee, D10
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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