Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2022, 11:10 AM
  • The Yankees (46-16) are -250 favorites vs the Rays (35-27)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jalen Beeks (1-1), 1.38 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (4-1), 2.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Tampa Bay Rays (+200) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-250) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 33-29 ATS.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 +100O 8 -115+200
Yankees -1.5 -120U 8 -105-250

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 27 away games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.30 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+4.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 games at home (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brett Phillips 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Manuel Margot 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brett Phillips 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Harold Ramirez 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Manuel Margot 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brett Phillips 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Manuel Margot 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Severino 6.5 -130 6.5 -110
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 away games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 52 games (+22.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 games (+4.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+2.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 30-32 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.4% ROI).

  • 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -1.97% ROI
  • 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -9.68% ROI
  • 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 1.88% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 33-29 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 5.24% ROI).

  • 46-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.95 Units / 16.16% ROI
  • 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -14.14% ROI
  • 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 5.16% ROI

Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (30/61) when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.

Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 56% of the time (163/293) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Jalen Beeks’ elevated fastball this season — tied for 13th best among among 123 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 90th Percentile.

Jalen Beeks has a strikeout rate of 57% (12 SO in 21 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Severino has allowed a just .272 SLG vs right-handed batters (fourth best)– 95th Percentile and .480 vs left-handed batters this season (sixth worst among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.

Luis Severino has struck out 37% (52/140) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 69% (20 SO in 29 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (102/287) against Luis Severino this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Rays are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

The Rays are 15-86 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

The Rays are 66-22 (.750) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Yankees are 28-7 (.800) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Yankees are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Yankees are 29-1 (.967) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Rays have scored 1.86 runs per game (410/221) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.

Rays hitters have just 106 strikeouts in 586 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Rays have scored 1.64 runs per game (363/221) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.

Rays hitters have an OBP of just .304 (972 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Yankees hitters are slugging .613 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 80% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 557 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (1045.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

Rays pitchers have walked 121 of 2,019 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,547 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Yankees pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 32 of 562 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.8 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Left Achilles , Day-to-Day
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.