- The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Logan Workman, – ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt, 5.28 ERA
- Watch the game on YES
The Tampa Bay Rays (+130) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on Monday, March 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Tampa.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rays are 9-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-9 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -145 | O 10 -115 | +130 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 10 -105 | -155 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 138% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 110% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 99% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 122% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 away games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 80 games at home (+13.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 12.43% ROI).
- 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -14.04% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.13% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -3.89% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 3.75% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -15.09% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 10.81% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -17.62% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt allowed an OPS of .797 (96 PA’s) vs left-handed batters last season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .664 — 10th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt allowed a just .176 SLG vs right-handed batters (13th best)– 88th Percentile and .696 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (third worst among qualified RPs)– second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 42% (163/387) against Clarke Schmidt last season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 47% — eighth Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt allowed an OBP of just .267 (75 PA’s) with runners in scoring position last season — 14th best among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 87th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 51-30 (.630) at home last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (8%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 268 walks in 2,113 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees hitters had an OPS of 1.230 (1,113 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.
Yankees hitters have drawn 271 walks in 2,878 PA’s (9%) when leading off an inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
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