- The Rays are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Thursday, May 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 29-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 20-18 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -115 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | -105 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 72.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+13.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+14.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Drew Rasmussen | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+16.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 23-15 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 21.73% ROI).
- 29-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.35 Units / 24.08% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 2.51% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -12.59% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 20-18 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 6.28% ROI).
- 21-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 15-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -22.28% ROI
- 22-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 12.74% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has walked 10 of 94 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 14th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (112/154) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has walked 6 of 31 batters (19%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has walked 1 of 60 left-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .135 (13-for-96) against Domingo German’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 95th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 58 of Domingo German’s 116 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 50%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .143 (11-for-77) against Domingo German this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (44/117) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total CB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 6-5 (.545) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Rays are 6-3 (.667) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Rays are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Rays are 5-1 (.833) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 22-36 (.379) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 25-26 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Yankees are 71-32 (.689) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .571 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .930 (276 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rays hitters are slugging .562 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .854 (1,447 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 206 walks in 1,909 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .330 (1,909 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Yankees hitters are slugging .556 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Rays have allowed 3.05 runs per game (116/38) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Oswald Peraza (Yankees): Ankle, D10
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Aaron Hicks (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D15
Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
