- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Watch the game on YES
The Tampa Bay Rays (-140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+115) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 30-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 21-20 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +115 | O 12 -350 | -140 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -140 | U 12 +275 | +115 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+16.65 Units / 128% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 80% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+8.80 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in his last 9 games (+10.90 Units / 121% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 74% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 25-16 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 21.85% ROI).
- 30-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 20.8% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 8.92% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -18.64% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 21-20 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 3.76% ROI).
- 23-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.93% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -13.92% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 4.99% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin had a first-pitch strike rate of just 35% (9/26) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Zach Eflin has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (394/820) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (13/135 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 99th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (72 balls in play) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
45 of Clarke Schmidt’s 99 strikeouts (46%) have come on cutters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.273 (28 Total Bases / 22 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .645 — 0 Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of 1.939 (27 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 1.126 — 0 Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of 1.135 (83 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .746 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 6-7 (.462) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Rays are 30-11 (.732) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 24-37 (.393) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Yankees are 26-26 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Yankees are 19-28 (.404) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .562 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .924 (304 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Rays hitters are slugging .514 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rays hitters are slugging .349 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 211 walks in 1,954 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters are slugging .434 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Yankees hitters are slugging .541 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have walked 519 of 7,432 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Oswald Peraza (Yankees): Ankle, D10
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Aaron Hicks (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Yandy DÃaz (Rays): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
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