Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22

New York Yankees' Aaron Judge celebrates after hitting a two-run home run against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the first inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series, Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024, in New York.
(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on May 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Rays are 33-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 25-25 ATS.

Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 4-1, 1.51 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -160O 8 -115+125
Yankees -1.5 +135U 8 -105-155

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.25 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Nick Martinez has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ryan Vilade has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 24 of his last 25 games (+21.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Spencer Jones has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games (+20.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+17.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+8.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 30-18 against the Run Line (+14.55 Units / 23.54% ROI).

  • 33-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.1 Units / 32.21% ROI
  • 24-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 1.53% ROI
  • 21-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -11.25% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 25-25 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 7.93% ROI).

  • 30-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -3.89% ROI
  • 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -12.03% ROI
  • 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 3.03% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 33-15 (.688) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Rays are 27-2 (.931) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Rays are 6-11 (.353) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 22-2 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Yankees are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Yankees are 14-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) at home this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .299 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 17% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 45 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 165 extra-base hits out of 387 total hits (43%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .662 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Rays have allowed 1.71 runs per game (82/48) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (1,220 batted balls) this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (235.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (451.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 1.82 runs per game (93/51) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.