• The Red Sox are -170 favorites vs the Angels
• Red Sox vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Angels TV Channel: NESN | ABTV

The Boston Red Sox (-170) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+140) on July 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 pm in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Red Sox are 38-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 44-44 ATS.

Red Sox vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 9-1, 2.71 ERA
• Angels starting pitcher: Samuel Aldegheri 3-3, 4.75 ERA

Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Angels and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+25.00 Units / 312% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.10 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Denzer Guzman has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Angels Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 38-46 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -8.61% ROI).

• 38-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -19.29% ROI
• 38-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -11.52% ROI
• 44-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 2.12% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 44-44 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -9.37% ROI).

• 36-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -12.79% ROI
• 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -9.36% ROI
• 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 1.64% ROI

Angels vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Angels vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Angels vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 11-19 (.367) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Angels (24th runs allowed).

The Red Sox are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Red Sox are just 2-26 (.071) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Angels are just 30-7 (.811) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Angels are just 0-42 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Angels are just 35-47 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Angels are just 30-7 (.811) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .259 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Angels Hitting Stats & Trends

Angels hitters are slugging just .355 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Angels have a winning percentage of just 40% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Angels Pitching Stats & Trends

Angels pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Angels have won just 21% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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