- The Red Sox (30-27) are -110 favorites vs the Angels (27-31)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta (5-4), 3.503 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (3-4), 3.993 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-110) on Thursday, June 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Red Sox vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 30-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 28-30 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -110 |
| Angels | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -110 |
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+8.20 Units / 91% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+5.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+4.85 Units / 97% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 62% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 56 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 31-26 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 6.55% ROI).
- 30-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -13.31% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 7.29% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 28-30 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -4.77% ROI).
- 27-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -16.51% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.94% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -9.11% ROI
Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (19/64) against Nick Pivetta in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (332/762) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has walked 13 of 150 right-handed batters (9%) this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 11th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 15% (30/193) against Nick Pivetta this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.886 (41 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.098 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.709 (170 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.147 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 42% (80/190) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.154 (30 total bases in 26 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .606 — 97th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.
The Red Sox are just 117-19 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Red Sox are just 25-5 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Red Sox are just 1-18 (.053) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 24-7 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Angels are just 24-4 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Angels are just 3-16 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Angels are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .440 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .445 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Angels hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .398 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
The Angels are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.2 MPH this season (1,415 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Red Sox have won 49% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Angels pitchers have had second base stolen on them 35 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.
The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D10
- Kurt Suzuki (Angels): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Michael Trout (Angels): Left Groin Tightness, Day-to-Day
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Hamstring, D10
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Nasal Fracture, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Hansel Robles (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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