- The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Angels
- Red Sox starting pitcher: James Paxton
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Watch the game on BSW
The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+100) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Red Sox vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 26-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 25-25 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +135 | O 9 +100 | -120 |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -120 | +100 |
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+15.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 away games (+14.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 36 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+10.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+9.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Angels vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Angels vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Angels vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Angels vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Paxton | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 27-22 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 3.59% ROI).
- 26-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 9.27% ROI
- 29-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 17.12% ROI
- 18-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -26.67% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 25-25 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.57% ROI).
- 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -8.44% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.18% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against James Paxton — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (6/27) against James Paxton over the last 30 days (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
James Paxton has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (12/23) over the past seven days (1 games) — 9th lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 17th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 16% (7/45) against James Paxton — 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — fifth Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (65/197) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (29/114) against Tyler Anderson this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (1,019/2,671) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (247/904) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 7-83 (.078) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Red Sox are just 3-19 (.136) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Red Sox are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Red Sox are 20-1 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 21-4 (.840) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Angels are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .296 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .337 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .398 (181 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have answered-back in 47% of innings after an opponent scores this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Angels hitters have 39 extra-base hits out of 162 total hits (just 24%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Angels hitters have 1,445 strikeouts in 5,597 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .266 (601 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 29 of 431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.03 (236.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 531 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 168 of 1,882 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
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