- The Red Sox are -150 favorites vs the Astros
- Red Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Red Sox / Astros TV Channel: NESN | SCHN
The Boston Red Sox (-150) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+125) on April 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.
This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.
Red Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 0-1, 7.95 ERA
Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+7.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+6.95 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Brice Matthews has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 71% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 87 of their last 155 games (+9.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 85 of their last 147 games (+15.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Astros were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Astros were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 41-8 (.837) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Astros were 56-7 (.889) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have grounded into 5 double plays in 24 opportunities (21%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters had 81 extra-base hits out of 186 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
The Red Sox batted .182 with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters put just 30% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (884/6,287 PA’s) since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
The Astros have scored 21 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
Astros hitters have drawn walks in 16% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 15% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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