Red Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Red Sox are -105 favorites vs the Astros
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale
  • Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Boston Red Sox (-105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Red Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 66-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 64-63 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +155O 9 -115-105
Astros +1.5 -190U 9 -105-115

Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 55.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Astros vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Abreu 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Connor Wong 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Rafael Devers 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Astros vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Abreu 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Connor Wong 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Rafael Devers 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -250 0.5 +195

Astros vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +230 0.5 -300
Abreu 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Connor Wong 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Rafael Devers 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Astros vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Sale 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Jose Urquidy 5.5 +115 5.5 -150
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 away games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 48 away games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 58 games (+2.55 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 92 games (+8.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+5.88 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 54 games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.80 Units / 29% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 64-62 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -3.31% ROI).

  • 66-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.28% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -1.77% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -7.79% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 64-63 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.38% ROI).

  • 72-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.69% ROI
  • 64-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -2.01% ROI
  • 60-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -6.81% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

keys to the game – away

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

keys to the game – home

The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Red Sox are batting .295 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .367 (557 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,253 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Astros hitters have just 575 strikeouts in 3,236 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Astros hitters have just 955 strikeouts in 5,317 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 254 strikeouts in 1,386 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 76 of 1,114 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 22% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 22% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Graeber Kessinger (Astros): Health and Safety Protocols, D10
  • Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • José Abreu (Astros): Back, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Phillip Maton (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jarren Duran (Red Sox): Toe, D10
  • Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.