- The Red Sox are -118 favorites vs the Astros
- Red Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Astros TV Channel: NESN | SCHN
The Boston Red Sox (-118) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-102) on March 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.
This season, the Red Sox are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 2-2 ATS.
Red Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Walks Over in his last 5 away games (+8.40 Units / 168% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.55 Units / 132% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+6.85 Units / 98% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 87 of their last 155 games (+9.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 159 games (+16.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -31.67% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -40% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 17.5% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -22.31% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -6.52% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.38% ROI
Astros vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | +350 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | +360 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | +425 |
| Roman Anthony (BOS) | +450 |
| Willson Contreras (BOS) | +475 |
Astros vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Anthony (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Carlos Correa (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willson Contreras (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (BOS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Red Sox are just 6-203 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Astros were 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Astros were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters had 81 extra-base hits out of 186 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .280 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters put just 30% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances lasted only one pitch (858/6,089 PA’s) in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.
The Astros batted .253 with two outs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB
Red Sox pitchers have struck out 42% of left-handed batters they faced over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers won 35% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Red Sox vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.







