Red Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 30

Houston Astros' Jeremy Peña, left, and Mauricio Dubón, right, celebrate Dubón solo home run against the Athletics during the fourth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 17, 2025, in West Sacramento, Calif.
(AP Photo/Scott Marshall)
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  • The Red Sox are -118 favorites vs the Astros
  • Red Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Red Sox / Astros TV Channel: NESN | SCHN

The Boston Red Sox (-118) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-102) on March 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Red Sox are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 2-2 ATS.

Red Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Walks Over in his last 5 away games (+8.40 Units / 168% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.55 Units / 132% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+6.85 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 87 of their last 155 games (+9.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 159 games (+16.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.15 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -31.67% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -40% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 17.5% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -22.31% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -6.52% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.38% ROI

Astros vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +350
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) +360
Trevor Story (BOS) +425
Roman Anthony (BOS) +450
Willson Contreras (BOS) +475

Astros vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Roman Anthony (BOS) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Trevor Story (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Carlos Correa (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Astros vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Willson Contreras (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Trevor Story (BOS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Astros vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ranger Suarez (BOS) 3.5 -160 3.5 +125
Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox are just 6-203 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Astros were 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 2-122 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Astros were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Red Sox hitters had 81 extra-base hits out of 186 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Red Sox batted .280 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Astros hitters put just 30% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances lasted only one pitch (858/6,089 PA’s) in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Astros batted .253 with two outs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Red Sox pitchers have struck out 42% of left-handed batters they faced over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers won 35% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.