- The Red Sox are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Boston Red Sox (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Red Sox vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 51-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 46-51 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | -225 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | +180 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 85.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+14.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+14.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Athletics vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Athletics vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ken Waldichuk | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Brayan Bello | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 83 games (+9.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+5.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 36 games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 51-45 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.32% ROI).
- 51-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 4.03% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -11.76% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 46-51 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -7.36% ROI).
- 26-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.05 Units / -26.81% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.85% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -10.92% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (35/213) against Brayan Bello since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (17/136) against Brayan Bello this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (26/161) against Brayan Bello on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (136/232) against Brayan Bello since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Ken Waldichuk’s 33 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has walked 46 of 361 batters (13%) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OPS of 1.141 (82 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .730 — first Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .398 (294 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .308 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 16-31 (.340) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Red Sox are just 10-39 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Red Sox are 17-12 (.586) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .441.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Athletics are just 24-59 (.289) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Athletics are just 26-70 (.271) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 69-8 (.896) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .397 (411 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Red Sox are batting .338 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .280 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .189 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,687 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,626 times since last season — 4th most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (900.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Red Sox pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.01 (854.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.80 (401.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Athletics have allowed 6.56 runs per game (315/48) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Dental, Day-to-Day
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
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