Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 04, 2022, 1:37 PM
  • The Red Sox (25-27) are -140 favorites vs the Athletics (20-34)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta (4-4), 3.951 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn (5-1), 2.153 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Boston Red Sox (-140) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+115) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Red Sox vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 25-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 26-28 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +120O 7.5 +100-140
Athletics +1.5 -145U 7.5 -120+115

Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+14.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.45 Units / 70% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 away games (+10.40 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1H Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 51 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1H Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1H Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 28-24 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 5.58% ROI).

  • 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -11.52% ROI
  • 20-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -14.26% ROI
  • 26-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 8.24% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 26-28 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -13.89% ROI).

  • 20-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -14.85% ROI
  • 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -13.89% ROI
  • 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 4.22% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .143 (7-for-49) against Nick Pivetta’s elevated fastball this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 91st Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (316/733) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (21/62) against Nick Pivetta this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 15th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (1,024/2,442) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Blackburn: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .133 (4-for-30) against Paul Blackburn on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .184 (18-for-98) against Paul Blackburn this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 95th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (167/397) against Paul Blackburn this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 27% (34/124) against Paul Blackburn with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Red Sox are just 113-19 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Red Sox are just 22-4 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.

The Red Sox are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .069.

The Red Sox are just 6-22 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Athletics are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Athletics are just 7-22 (.241) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Athletics are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.

The Athletics are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

 

The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .346 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Red Sox are batting .269 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .585 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .326 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .584 (1,366 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .314 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .574 (1,021 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH this season (1,300 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Red Sox have won 43% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 154 of 2,429 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Athletics have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 612 of 8,087 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Vogt (Athletics): Undisclosed, D10
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Hansel Robles (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.