Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:09 AM
  • The Red Sox (26-27) are +100 favorites vs the Athletics (20-35)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Hill (1-3), 4.84 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (2-5), 3.20 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (-120) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Red Sox vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 26-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 26-29 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +165O 7.5 -120+100
Athletics +1.5 -200U 7.5 +100-120

Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 78.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.45 Units / 65% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.25 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.70 Units / 78% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+3.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Cristian Pache has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1H Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 24 games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1H Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1H Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 29-24 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 7.22% ROI).

  • 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -9.79% ROI
  • 21-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -12.28% ROI
  • 26-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 6.37% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 26-29 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -15.46% ROI).

  • 20-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -16.31% ROI
  • 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -11.99% ROI
  • 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 2.49% ROI

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (231/450) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (351/637) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (59/131) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (281/536) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Francelis Montas: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (116/306) against Frankie Montas when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .140 against Frankie Montas this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .155 (18-for-116) against Frankie Montas’ non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 92nd Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 37% (98/263) against Frankie Montas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

No Matchup notes for this Game

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

No Matchup notes for this Game

The Red Sox are batting .348 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 589 of their 2,037 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,398 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,398 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .311 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .601 (1,972 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Red Sox have won 49% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH (1,320 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Athletics have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 124 of 1,922 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 13% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Athletics vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Vogt (Athletics): Undisclosed, D10
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Hansel Robles (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.