• The Blue Jays are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: NESN | RSN1

The Boston Red Sox (+118) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on April 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Red Sox are 11-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 10-17 ATS.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 1-2, 4.16 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 1-0, 2.11 ERA

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+13.10 Units / 218% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.40 Units / 206% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 53% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.75 Units / 52% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.90 Units / 20% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games (+14.55 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 9-19 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -31.78% ROI).

• 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -28.81% ROI
• 15-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 1.94% ROI
• 13-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -11.2% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-17 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -24.5% ROI).

• 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -23.39% ROI
• 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
• 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -7.6% ROI

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Red Sox are 81-4 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Red Sox are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Red Sox are just 11-17 (.393) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are 14-65 (.177) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Blue Jays are 17-62 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

The Blue Jays are 79-6 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Blue Jays are 7-69 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .603 (465 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .312 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .300 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .669 (1,054 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .182 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (23 games) — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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