• The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: NESN | RSN

The Boston Red Sox (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on April 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Red Sox are 12-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 11-18 ATS.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 1-3, 9.01 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 1-3, 6.76 ERA

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+18.00 Units / 450% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 away games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Brayan Bello has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+13.90 Units / 278% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.40 Units / 78% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 35% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 10-20 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -29.24% ROI).

• 12-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -27.08% ROI
• 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -4.98% ROI
• 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -4.4% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 11-18 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -22.73% ROI).

• 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -22.85% ROI
• 14-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -7.8% ROI
• 15-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.79% ROI

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Red Sox are 11-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Red Sox are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Red Sox are just 3-14 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are 79-6 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Blue Jays are 14-66 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Blue Jays are 7-70 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Blue Jays are 17-63 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .343 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .312 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .211 at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .651 (847 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .193 with two-strikes since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have not walked any of the 61 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.50 (18.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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