- The Red Sox are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: NESN | RSN
The Boston Red Sox (-175) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+145) on August 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Red Sox are 64-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 58-60 ATS.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 14-2, 2.82 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 7-5, 2.29 ERA
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -120 | -175 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 +100 | +145 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+24.10 Units / 344% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in his last 6 games (+10.10 Units / 168% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 45 games (+21.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+17.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 58-55 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 2.86% ROI).
- 64-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -1.02% ROI
- 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -12.17% ROI
- 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 2.97% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 58-60 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -5.17% ROI).
- 56-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -10.81% ROI
- 59-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -2.64% ROI
- 57-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -5.77% ROI
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | +260 |
| Willson Contreras | +270 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | +360 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | +375 |
| Jarren Duran | +450 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nathan Lukes | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Sogard | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Sogard | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jesus Sanchez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .260 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .179 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,189 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,235 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Blue Jays have scored 151 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.
The Blue Jays are batting .188 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 3.51 runs per game (200/57) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (1043.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,913 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,913 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have had second base stolen on them 99 times this season — tied for most in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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