• The Blue Jays are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: NESN | RSN

The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-150) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Red Sox are 64-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 59-60 ATS.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 4-3, 3.37 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-10, 4.26 ERA

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+23.10 Units / 289% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games (+11.90 Units / 170% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Dylan Cease has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 40 games (+20.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+17.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+16.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.55 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 58-56 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 2.16% ROI).

• 64-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2.09% ROI
• 52-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.9 Units / -12.94% ROI
• 62-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 3.72% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 59-60 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -4.49% ROI).

• 57-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -9.77% ROI
• 59-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -3.48% ROI
• 58-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -4.96% ROI

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging .253 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .433 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 60% on the road this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,189 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting just .212 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .189 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.35 (504.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,937 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,937 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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