- The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: NESN | RSN
The Boston Red Sox (-160) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+135) on August 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Red Sox are 64-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 61-60 ATS.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 7-6, 3.22 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-4, 7.39 ERA
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | -160 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | +135 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 63.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+31.10 Units / 311% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.95 Units / 92% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games (+16.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+13.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 58-58 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.2% ROI).
- 64-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 54-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -11.22% ROI
- 62-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 1.98% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 61-60 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -2.75% ROI).
- 59-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -8.2% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -1.94% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -6.52% ROI
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | +270 |
| Willson Contreras | +280 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | +350 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | +375 |
| Charles McAdoo | +380 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brett Bateman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brett Bateman | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andruw Monasterio | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 6-2 (.750) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .260 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 58% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .536 (2,359 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.
The Blue Jays are batting .190 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have 231 extra-base hits out of 746 total hits (just 31%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (520.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,989 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (2,989 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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