- The Blue Jays are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on SNET
The Boston Red Sox (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Saturday, July 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 41-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-45 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -110 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +110 | U 9 -110 | -165 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 69.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.95 Units / 72% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+22.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 43 games (+18.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+15.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Kutter Crawford | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games (+17.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 42-41 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -3.81% ROI).
- 41-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -3.07% ROI
- 43-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.88% ROI
- 38-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -10.9% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 38-45 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -10.43% ROI).
- 45-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -6.06% ROI
- 37-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -10.09% ROI
- 42-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.09% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has a strikeout rate of 51% (28 SO in 55 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 55 of Kutter Crawford’s 116 elevated fastballs out of the zone (47%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has thrown his slider 47% of the time (196/419) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .593 (54 Total Bases / 91 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (99 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of .934 (99 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .651 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .065 (2-for-31) against Yusei Kikuchi over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are 34-2 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Red Sox are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Red Sox are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 8-36 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 6-2 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 55-79 (.410) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Blue Jays are just 4-28 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Blue Jays are 21-28 (.429) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .332 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .397 (343 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .185 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 369 strikeouts in 1,880 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 235 of 3,128 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 27 of 470 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 679 of 9,201 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 148 of 2,193 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
