Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (41-32) are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox (42-32)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Michael Wacha (6-1), 2.34 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (4-2), 3.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on SN1

The Boston Red Sox (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 42-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 33-40 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -160O 9 -105+115
Blue Jays -1.5 +135U 9 -115-140

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+9.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+6.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+6.05 Units / 105% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+7.15 Units / 143% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Bo Bichette 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
George Springer 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Bo Bichette 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Raimel Tapia 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.5 +195 1.5 -300

Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Bo Bichette 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
George Springer 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +130 0.5 -190

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ross Stripling 3.5 -115 3.5 -120
Michael Wacha 3.5 -120 3.5 -115
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+16.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 73 games (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 41-33 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 9.33% ROI).

  • 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 4.35% ROI
  • 28-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -14.56% ROI
  • 37-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 8.98% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 33-40 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -11.51% ROI).

  • 41-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -5.67% ROI
  • 39-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 2.75% ROI
  • 33-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -13.1% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Red Sox are 22-16 (.579) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Red Sox are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Red Sox are just 37-4 (.902) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are 4-23 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Blue Jays are 22-14 (.611) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Blue Jays are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 33-9 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .264 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (675 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .681 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 24% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (334.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 666 of 8,647 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 193 of 2,731 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.