- The Blue Jays (41-32) are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox (42-32)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Michael Wacha (6-1), 2.34 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (4-2), 3.07 ERA
- Watch the game on SN1
The Boston Red Sox (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 42-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 33-40 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -105 | +115 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -115 | -140 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+9.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+6.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+6.05 Units / 105% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+7.15 Units / 143% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -120 |
| Michael Wacha | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+16.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 73 games (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 41-33 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 9.33% ROI).
- 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 4.35% ROI
- 28-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -14.56% ROI
- 37-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 8.98% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 33-40 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -11.51% ROI).
- 41-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -5.67% ROI
- 39-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 2.75% ROI
- 33-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -13.1% ROI
Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Red Sox are 22-16 (.579) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Red Sox are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Red Sox are just 37-4 (.902) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 4-23 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Blue Jays are 22-14 (.611) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Blue Jays are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 33-9 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .264 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (675 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .681 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 24% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (334.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 666 of 8,647 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 193 of 2,731 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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