- The Blue Jays (42-32) are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox (42-33)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta (8-5), 3.24 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (9-2), 2.05 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 42-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 33-41 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+7.30 Units / 108% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+7.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 41% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Nick Pivetta | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+15.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+12.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 74 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 33 games (+18.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+16.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 42-33 against the Run Line (+9.65 Units / 10.23% ROI).
- 42-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 3.28% ROI
- 29-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -13.16% ROI
- 37-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 7.59% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 33-41 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -12.49% ROI).
- 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.75% ROI
- 40-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 3.94% ROI
- 33-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -14.22% ROI
Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 15% (42/273) against Nick Pivetta this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (82/241) against Nick Pivetta this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (49/141) against Nick Pivetta this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .078 (4 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .194 (170 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .154 (55-for-358) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .151 (24-for-159) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .446 (170 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Red Sox are 22-17 (.564) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Red Sox are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Blue Jays are 36-1 (.973) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Blue Jays are 33-9 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Blue Jays are 23-14 (.622) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .264 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .266 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Red Sox have scored first in 76% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .678 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Blue Jays are batting .370 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 24% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (1,885 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
The Red Sox have won 44% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 198 of 2,771 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 671 of 8,687 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.2).
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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