- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: James Paxton
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Watch the game on SNET
The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Friday, June 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 40-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-44 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Red Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 62.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+11.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+21.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 42 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+13.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+10.20 Units / 65% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
George Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Matt Chapman | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Brandon Belt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
George Springer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Matt Chapman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Brandon Belt | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
George Springer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Matt Chapman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Brandon Belt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
James Paxton | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Jose Berrios | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 41-41 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -4.8% ROI).
- 40-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -4.34% ROI
- 43-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 2.22% ROI
- 37-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -12.12% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 38-44 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -9.56% ROI).
- 45-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -8.89% ROI
- 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
keys to the game – away
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
keys to the game – home
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .396 (333 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Red Sox are batting .330 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .431 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Blue Jays are batting .274 in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .330 (7,446 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 231 of 3,063 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 25 of 443 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 50 of 716 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 675 of 9,128 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (341.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
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