Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 30, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: James Paxton
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Friday, June 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 40-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-44 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -165O 9 -120+120
Blue Jays -1.5 +135U 9 +100-145

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 62.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+11.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+21.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 42 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+13.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+10.20 Units / 65% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +1050 0.5
George Springer 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Matt Chapman 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Brandon Belt 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
George Springer 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt Chapman 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Brandon Belt 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.5 +185 1.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
George Springer 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Matt Chapman 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Brandon Belt 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
James Paxton 5.5 -150 5.5 +115
Jose Berrios 5.5 +110 5.5 -150
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 41-41 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -4.8% ROI).

  • 40-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -4.34% ROI
  • 43-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 2.22% ROI
  • 37-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -12.12% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 38-44 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -9.56% ROI).

  • 45-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -4.96% ROI
  • 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -8.89% ROI
  • 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

keys to the game – away

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

keys to the game – home

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .396 (333 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.

The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Red Sox are batting .330 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .431 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Blue Jays are batting .274 in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .330 (7,446 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 231 of 3,063 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 25 of 443 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 50 of 716 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 675 of 9,128 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (341.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
  • Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
  • Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
  • Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.