- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Hyun Jin Ryu
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 74-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 68-81 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+11.10 Units / 123% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Nick Pivetta | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 74-75 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -6.14% ROI).
- 74-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 78-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 3.9% ROI
- 65-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.35 Units / -13% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 68-81 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -5.66% ROI
- 64-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.8 Units / -13.4% ROI
- 79-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 5.02% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (148 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .827 (139 Total Bases / 168 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .589 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (330 Total Bases / 469 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .562 — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased 174 of Nick Pivetta’s 496 fastballs out of the zone (35%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 26th — Kenta Maeda has the longest active streak at 11.
Hyun Jin Ryu has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to September 1st — the longest active streak is 5.
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed three-ball counts to 2% of batters they faced (18/771 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed a slugging percentage of .491 (245 Total Bases / 499 ABs) at home since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .395 — third Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are 61-3 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Red Sox are 43-30 (.589) after a home win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Red Sox are 33-33 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Red Sox are just 3-132 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 17-12 (.586) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 152-36 (.809) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 33-51 (.393) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Blue Jays are 36-14 (.720) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .566.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .309 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .368 (674 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .765 (4,301 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .267 against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,604 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (1065.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .268 against Red Sox pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (7 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 880 of 11,698 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.78 (1335.0 IP) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, D10
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Kenley Jansen (Red Sox): Covid-19, D7
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Knee, D15
- Jarren Duran (Red Sox): Toe, D60
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Triston Casas (Red Sox): Shouder, D10
Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
