• The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Red Sox / Braves TV Channel: NESN | BRVN | GRAY

The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on May 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Red Sox are 18-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 30-14 ATS.

Red Sox vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 3-2, 3.17 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider 1-0, 2.90 ERA

Red Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+14.80 Units / 185% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 53% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.75 Units / 97% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.50 Units / 136% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+11.90 Units / 119% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+6.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.45 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+21.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 16-26 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -19.24% ROI).

• 18-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -23.96% ROI
• 19-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -13.68% ROI
• 23-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 4.56% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-14 against the Run Line (+20.8 Units / 41.11% ROI).

• 30-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 20.16% ROI
• 18-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -14.37% ROI
• 23-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 7.9% ROI

Braves vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Red Sox are just 2-13 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

The Red Sox are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Red Sox are just 1-21 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Red Sox are 14-1 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Braves are 10-3 (.769) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Braves are 30-14 (.682) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Braves are 14-7 (.667) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .543.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .336 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,208 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .436 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .456 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .447 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .456 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,089 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have 48 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.91 runs per game (39/43) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.02 (391.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Braves pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.89 runs per game (39/44) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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