- The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the Brewers
- Red Sox vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Brewers TV Channel: NESN | FDWI | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (-160) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+135) on Monday, May 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Red Sox are 27-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 26-27 ATS.
Red Sox vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 4-3, 2.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 2-4, 3.27 ERA
Red Sox vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Red Sox | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -115 | -160 |
Brewers | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -105 | +135 |
Red Sox vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+22.70 Units / 284% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.35 Units / 67% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Sogard has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.15 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+22.25 Units / 278% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.78 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.32 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 27-27 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 2.19% ROI).
- 27-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.51 Units / -12.61% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.57 Units / -7.54% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.41% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 26-27 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -8.01% ROI).
- 26-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 21-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -20.44% ROI
- 30-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 11.74% ROI
Brewers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
Chad Patrick (MIL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 37% (140 SO in 375 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .345 — second Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (495/1,143) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 33% (287 SO in 867 PAs) since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (43/158) against Chad Patrick this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
73% of Chad Patrick’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (17/73) against Chad Patrick this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (26/85) against Chad Patrick this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Red Sox are just 6-77 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Brewers are just 3-147 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Brewers are 59-43 (.578) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are 29-18 (.617) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 46-35 (.568) on the road in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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