- The Giants are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-145) on Friday, July 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Red Sox vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 55-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 51-52 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 +100 | +120 |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -120 | -145 |
Red Sox vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+18.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+15.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+14.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+13.20 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+17.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+17.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+17.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+15.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Giants vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Giants vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Giants vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Logan Webb | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 89 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 89 games (+11.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games at home (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 55-47 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 2.31% ROI).
- 55-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 4.74% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.31% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -9.54% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 51-52 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -3.47% ROI).
- 56-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.85 Units / -13.87% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 5.56% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (13/72) against Kutter Crawford with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.056 (158 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 0 Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strikeout rate of 44% (31 SO in 71 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .368 (25-for-68) against Kutter Crawford when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (114/185) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (154/250) against Logan Webb in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (745/1,992) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (293/473) against Logan Webb since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Red Sox are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .852.
The Red Sox are 41-24 (.631) after a home win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Red Sox are 14-22 (.389) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Giants are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Giants are 38-60 (.388) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Giants are just 16-30 (.348) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .280 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .400 (432 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Red Sox are batting .292 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .560 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .371 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,150 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .672 (1,150 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Giants hitters are slugging .613 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 292 of 3,834 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 62 of 902 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 112 times since last season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 268 of 3,857 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 709 of 9,927 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
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