Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 1

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Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez watches his home run during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Tuesday, June 6, 2023, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 01, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Red Sox are -105 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Boston Red Sox (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Red Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 56-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 51-55 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +155O 8 -110-105
Mariners +1.5 -190U 8 -110-115

Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+18.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+17.45 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+13.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Triston Casas has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tom Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Tom Murphy has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 73% ROI)

Mariners vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Josh Rojas 0.5 +1050 0.5
Connor Wong 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500

Mariners vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Josh Rojas 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Connor Wong 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Mariners vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Josh Rojas 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Connor Wong 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Miller 5.5 -105 5.5 -125
Brayan Bello 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 93 games (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+5.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+3.25 Units / 6% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 56-50 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.11% ROI).

  • 56-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 2.95% ROI
  • 53-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -2.22% ROI
  • 50-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -7.55% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-55 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -4.39% ROI).

  • 55-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -4.71% ROI
  • 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -4.11% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .228 (162 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (777/1,154) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .264 (33-for-125) against Bryce Miller in non-two strike counts this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 95th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .188 (29-for-154) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 98th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

keys to the game – away

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Mariners vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
  • Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
  • William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
  • Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
  • Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
  • Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Turner (Red Sox): Heel, Day-to-Day
  • Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.