- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Wednesday, August 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Red Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 57-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 51-56 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 8 +100 | +105 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -120 | -125 |
Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+17.45 Units / 83% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+14.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tom Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 57% ROI)
Mariners vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Kutter Crawford | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 94 games (+9.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+10.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 57-50 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.82% ROI).
- 57-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 3.7% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.36% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -8.41% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-56 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -5.09% ROI).
- 55-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -7.94% ROI
- 53-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -3.82% ROI
- 52-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -5.01% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.028 (164 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .704 — 0 Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .638 (97 Total Bases / 152 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 0 Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has thrown his slider 47% of the time (239/505) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (179/309) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .263 against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for seventh best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile. Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .167 (269 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .356 (269 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .504 — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .180 (139 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Red Sox are 19-7 (.731) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Red Sox are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Red Sox are 24-7 (.774) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
The Red Sox are 19-12 (.613) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Mariners are 67-10 (.870) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Mariners are 108-9 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Mariners are 27-4 (.871) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Mariners are 33-3 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .341 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .566 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .397 (452 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Red Sox are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .226 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .289 (501 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Mariners are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Mariners are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 304 of 4,024 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 65 of 948 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (900.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,635 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 279 of 3,969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 168 of 2,418 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Turner (Red Sox): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
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