- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
- Red Sox vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Marlins TV Channel: NESN | MATV
The Boston Red Sox (-135) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+110) on August 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.
Red Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 5-3, 3.46 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 13-8, 3.49 ERA
Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -115 | -135 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -105 | +110 |
Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+24.70 Units / 274% ROI)
- Nick Sogard has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 79% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+15.50 Units / 155% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Griffin Conine has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+10.00 Units / 143% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline forML units Units /ML ROI ROIaway total over record when betting on the total runs Over forover units Units /over ROI ROIaway total under record when betting on the total runs Under forunder units Units /under ROI ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline forML units Units /ML ROI ROIhome total over record when betting on the total runs Over forover units Units /over ROI ROIhome total under record when betting on the total runs Under forunder units Units /under ROI ROI
Marlins vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | +400 |
| Willson Contreras | +425 |
| Heriberto Hernandez | +500 |
| Jarren Duran | +600 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | +625 |
Marlins vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Sogard | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Javier Sanoja | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brian Navarreto | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Red Sox are 42-28 (.600) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Red Sox are 37-27 (.578) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Red Sox are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Marlins are just 26-38 (.406) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Marlins are 40-26 (.606) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Marlins are 33-6 (.846) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Marlins are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .258 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .253 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .432 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .283 this season — best in MLB.
The Marlins are batting .248 on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 0.95 runs per game (123/130) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Marlins have allowed 3.62 runs per game (239/66) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (597.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Marlins have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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