- The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Red Sox vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Marlins TV Channel: NESN | MATV
The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+118) on August 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.
Red Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 16-3, 2.82 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-3, 4.35 ERA
Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +120 | O 7.5 -102 | -145 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -145 | U 7.5 -118 | +118 |
Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+29.50 Units / 421% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+17.45 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+14.50 Units / 145% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline forML units Units /ML ROI ROIaway total over record when betting on the total runs Over forover units Units /over ROI ROIaway total under record when betting on the total runs Under forunder units Units /under ROI ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline forML units Units /ML ROI ROIhome total over record when betting on the total runs Over forover units Units /over ROI ROIhome total under record when betting on the total runs Under forunder units Units /under ROI ROI
Marlins vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | +390 |
| Kyle Stowers | +475 |
| Willson Contreras | +475 |
| Griffin Conine | +525 |
| Heriberto Hernandez | +575 |
Marlins vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Sogard | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Joe Mack | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Red Sox are 39-27 (.591) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are 44-28 (.611) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox are 10-47 (.175) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Marlins are 41-27 (.603) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Marlins are 40-27 (.597) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Marlins are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Marlins are just 8-27 (.229) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .283 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .259 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .434 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .252 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .282 this season — best in MLB.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of 60% at home this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Marlins are batting just .189 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 3.55 runs per game (234/66) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (574.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.
The Marlins have allowed 3.68 runs per game (250/68) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.35 (617.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 0.0 feet — — tied for shortest in MLB
More MLB Reading:
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