• The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Mets TV Channel: FS1 | NESN | SNY

The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on July 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 44-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 39-54 ATS.

Red Sox vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 4-3, 3.19 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-7, 4.72 ERA

Red Sox vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+18.00 Units / 180% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+21.40 Units / 357% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 75% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.20 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+11.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 54% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+4.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 43-46 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -3.04% ROI).

• 44-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -12.51% ROI
• 42-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -9% ROI
• 46-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.4% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 39-54 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -12.32% ROI).

• 40-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.85 Units / -24.48% ROI
• 45-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.67% ROI
• 42-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -7.54% ROI

Mets vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Red Sox are 42-1 (.977) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Red Sox are just 6-22 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Mets are just 20-34 (.370) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Mets are just 35-47 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Mets are just 21-26 (.447) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Mets are just 11-50 (.180) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .305 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — tied for best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .261 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .640 (1,108 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 100 total hits (just 24%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .303 (2,588 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .608 (1,176 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (414.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 663 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Red Sox vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.