- The Red Sox are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Watch the game on MASN
The Boston Red Sox (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Thursday, August 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 63-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 66-55 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -115 | O 9.5 +100 | -185 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -120 | +150 |
Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 77.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
Nationals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Nationals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Nationals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Nationals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Chris Sale | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 away games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 away games (+3.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 115 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 61-59 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.56% ROI).
- 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 1.54% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -3.17% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 66-55 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 2.82% ROI).
- 54-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.65 Units / 12.65% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -9.25% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 0.95% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 29% (78 SO in 265 PAs) this season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 94th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 28 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from Chris Sale. — Daniel Bard has the longest active streak at 36.
Chris Sale has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 72% (143/199) of opposing batters this season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 93rd Percentile.
Chris Sale has struck out 29% (65/225) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .303 (139-for-459) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .436 (68 Total Bases / 156 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .324 (36-for-111) against Patrick Corbin on low fastballs this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 15th Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .344 (607 PA’s) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — seventh Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Red Sox are 37-24 (.607) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Red Sox are 19-13 (.594) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Red Sox are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are 49-7 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .782.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Nationals are just 33-58 (.363) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Nationals are just 18-30 (.375) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Nationals are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 56-38 (.596) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .527 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,227 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .897 (867 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.107.
Nationals hitters have just 1,413 strikeouts in 7,136 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) against the run line (-63.6% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals hitters have just 864 strikeouts in 4,557 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 73 of 1,063 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 341 of 4,529 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 8.33 (27.0 IP) against division opponents over the last 30 days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox have have still managed to win 36% of the time this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Joan Adon (Nationals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Mason Thompson (Nationals): Knee, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Nail, Day-to-Day
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
Bet now on Red Sox vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
