• The Red Sox are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
• Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: NESN | MASN

The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on April 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.

Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 2-3, 7.77 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-2, 4.13 ERA

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+21.50 Units / 358% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• Trevor Rogers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Trevor Rogers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 58% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Red Sox are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Red Sox are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Red Sox are 8-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Red Sox are just 9-17 (.346) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Orioles are 6-1 (.857) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Red Sox (17th runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 39-48 (.448) after a win since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 2-87 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .603 (465 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .335 this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (465 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .211 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .222 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging .467 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (110.1 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Orioles pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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