• The Red Sox are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
• Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: NESN | MASN

The Boston Red Sox (-150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+125) on September 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.

Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 16-4, 2.85 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 6-4, 5.00 ERA

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+18.70 Units / 267% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Mickey Gasper has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+17.70 Units / 354% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 41% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Red Sox are 64-2 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 45-31 (.592) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 42-31 (.575) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Orioles are just 8-28 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-141 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,377 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .433 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .180 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,320 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (633.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strike rate of 65% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,732/5,424 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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