• The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
• Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: NESN | MASN

The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+118) on September 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Red Sox are 78-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 73-69 ATS.

Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 8-6, 3.25 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 7-12, 4.04 ERA

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+22.80 Units / 253% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.75 Units / 98% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Roman Anthony has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+15.45 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 73% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+5.10 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.45 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 68-71 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.4% ROI).

• 78-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -1.62% ROI
• 68-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -6.92% ROI
• 71-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -2.4% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 73-69 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -0.96% ROI).

• 69-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -6.71% ROI
• 70-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -3.74% ROI
• 69-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -4.66% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Red Sox are 65-2 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 46-31 (.597) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 43-31 (.581) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Orioles are just 8-28 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-142 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,377 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .258 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

29% of Red Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 43% this season — best in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 1.01 runs per game (144/143) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,753/5,465 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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