• The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Pirates
• Red Sox vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Pirates TV Channel: FOX

The Boston Red Sox (-130) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on August 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Red Sox are 65-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 59-62 ATS.

Red Sox vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 14-3, 2.83 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 2-4, 5.04 ERA

Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.75 Units / 59% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.45 Units / 114% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+10.25 Units / 171% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+17.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+3.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+1.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 59-59 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.33% ROI).

• 65-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -3.64% ROI
• 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -11.12% ROI
• 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 1.83% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 59-62 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -5.12% ROI).

• 60-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -9.14% ROI
• 69-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.15 Units / 9.63% ROI
• 51-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.6 Units / -18.05% ROI

Pirates vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Pirates are just 3-6 (.333) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 3-6 (.333) since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging .251 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .766 (1,198 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .430 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .292 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .794 (2,370 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .286 on fastballs this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

The Red Sox have allowed 0.99 runs per game (121/122) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (537.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Pirates pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.50 (560.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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