- The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Pirates
- Red Sox vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Pirates TV Channel: NESN | SNPT
The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) on August 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Red Sox are 66-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 59-63 ATS.
Red Sox vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 1-1, 3.34 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Lake Bachar 1-2, 4.00 ERA
Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +140 | O 8 +100 | -120 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -170 | U 8 -120 | +100 |
Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+25.70 Units / 321% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games (+19.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+16.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+15.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 60-59 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.3% ROI).
- 66-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -2.98% ROI
- 55-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 64-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 2.56% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 59-63 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -6.14% ROI).
- 60-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -9.73% ROI
- 69-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.05 Units / 8.75% ROI
- 52-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.6 Units / -17.18% ROI
Pirates vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | +340 |
| Wilyer Abreu | +375 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | +450 |
| Brandon Lowe | +475 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | +475 |
Pirates vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Sogard | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ronny Simon | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Flores | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Sogard | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Pirates are just 3-7 (.300) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 3-7 (.300) since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters are slugging .430 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 59% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .284 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .179 with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting .290 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .767 (3,427 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .343 (3,427 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .271 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 3.51 runs per game (221/63) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (546.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Pirates have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates have allowed 5.13 runs per game (318/62) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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