- The Rangers are -160 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Monday, September 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Red Sox vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 74-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 79-70 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -110 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -160 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+10.10 Units / 100% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 40 games (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Jordan Montgomery | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 59 away games (+7.84 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 54 away games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 141 games (+21.14 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 83 of their last 141 games (+17.61 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games at home (+14.83 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games at home (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 75-75 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -5.59% ROI).
- 74-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 78-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 3.27% ROI
- 66-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.35 Units / -12.3% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 79-70 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 4.71% ROI).
- 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -1.98% ROI
- 79-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 5.19% ROI
- 64-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.6 Units / -13.81% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (108 Total Bases / 185 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .407 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .091 (5-for-55) against Kutter Crawford on fastballs away this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 99th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has thrown his slider 48% of the time (183/377) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has thrown his slider 49% of the time (315/648) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (62/173) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery had a first-pitch strike rate of just 44% (11/25) — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (33/112) against Jordan Montgomery with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has thrown fastballs 54% of the time (1,045/1,927) this season — 5th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 84th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are just 3-133 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Red Sox are 33-33 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Red Sox are just 31-44 (.413) after a loss this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 6-125 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Rangers are just 72-50 (.590) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Rangers are just 2-50 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are 23-19 (.548) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .309 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox are batting .296 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .421 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .492 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .348 (1,528 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rangers are batting .266 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .840 (2,870 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (1065.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .268 against Red Sox pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 26 of 239 batters (11%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 242 of 2,761 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 22% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 120 double plays in 1,023 opportunities (12%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 129 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
- Ian Kennedy (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Maxwell Scherzer (Rangers): Triceps , D15
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Kenley Jansen (Red Sox): Covid-19, D7
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Knee, D15
- Jarren Duran (Red Sox): Toe, D60
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Triston Casas (Red Sox): Shouder, D10
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