- The – are favorites vs the –
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Corey Kluber
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Thursday, April 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 11-1 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 72% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+8.10 Units / 135% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)
Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Corey Kluber | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 48% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -16% ROI).
- 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -23.73% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 27.69% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -38.15% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 11-1 against the Run Line (+11 Units / 77.19% ROI).
- 12-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 47.06% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 35.11% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -45.11% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber walked 21 of 689 batters (3%) in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .356 (47-for-132) against Corey Kluber with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.
Corey Kluber allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (75 Total Bases / 132 ABs) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .382 (47-for-123) against Corey Kluber’s inside fastball since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of just .159 (44 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 42% (19 SO in 45 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of just .125 (32 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox were just 5-63 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Red Sox were just 4-65 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Red Sox are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 67-12 (.848) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 11-105 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 62-8 (.886) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Rays are 17-101 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Rays are 86-79 (.521) on the road since the 2021 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have just 44 strikeouts in 270 PA’s (16%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .272 at home in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .580 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rays hitters are slugging .442 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Rays hitters are slugging 1.206 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Rays hitters are slugging .587 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.69 (789.0 IP) at home since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed 19 home runs this season — tied for 5th most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have attempted to pick off a runner at second base 4 times this season — tied for most in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 411 of 6,313 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 176 of 3,004 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents are hitting just .185 against Rays pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays pitchers have walked 995 of 14,275 batters (7%) since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Back, D15
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D10
- Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Masataka Yoshida (Red Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Hamstring, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Oblique, D15
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