Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Red Sox (47-40) are -120 favorites vs the Rays (46-40)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale (-), ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (4-5), 3.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+100) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 47-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 40-46 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +135O 7.5 -120-120
Rays +1.5 -165U 7.5 +100+100

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+7.25 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Taylor Walls 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Taylor Walls 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Taylor Walls 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Kluber 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Chris Sale 5.5 +100 5.5 -140
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 58 games (+6.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 48-39 against the Run Line (+10.65 Units / 9.88% ROI).

  • 47-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.85% ROI
  • 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -7.55% ROI
  • 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.2% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 40-46 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -5.99% ROI).

  • 46-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -4.82% ROI
  • 39-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -7.75% ROI
  • 43-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.1% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corey Kluber has walked 5 of 151 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (283/569) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has an average fastball velocity of just 88.9 MPH this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — fourth Percentile.

Corey Kluber has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (509/1,460) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are 24-20 (.545) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Red Sox are just 2-30 (.062) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.

The Red Sox are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 132-19 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 21-5 (.808) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Rays are 26-17 (.605) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rays are 87-67 (.565) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .468 at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Red Sox are batting .266 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .346 (844 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Rays hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 312 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 59% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays have scored 1.57 runs per game (384/245) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.

The Rays have scored 1.77 runs per game (433/245) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 62 of 530 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (2,173 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 53 of 445 batters (12%) this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 657 of 9,170 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (1127.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Connor Seabold (Red Sox): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Kevin Plawecki (Red Sox): COVID, D10
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Left groin, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Rafael Devers (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.