- The Red Sox (47-40) are -120 favorites vs the Rays (46-40)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale (-), – ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (4-5), 3.62 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+100) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 47-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 40-46 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -120 | -120 |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 +100 | +100 |
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+7.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 87% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Kluber | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Chris Sale | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 58 games (+6.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 48-39 against the Run Line (+10.65 Units / 9.88% ROI).
- 47-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.85% ROI
- 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -7.55% ROI
- 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.2% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 40-46 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -5.99% ROI).
- 46-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 39-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 43-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.1% ROI
Christopher Sale: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has walked 5 of 151 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (283/569) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has an average fastball velocity of just 88.9 MPH this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — fourth Percentile.
Corey Kluber has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (509/1,460) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are 24-20 (.545) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Red Sox are just 2-30 (.062) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Red Sox are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 132-19 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 21-5 (.808) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Rays are 26-17 (.605) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Rays are 87-67 (.565) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .468 at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Red Sox are batting .266 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .346 (844 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 312 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 59% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays have scored 1.57 runs per game (384/245) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
The Rays have scored 1.77 runs per game (433/245) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 62 of 530 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (2,173 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 53 of 445 batters (12%) this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 657 of 9,170 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (1127.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Connor Seabold (Red Sox): Forearm, D15
- Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Kevin Plawecki (Red Sox): COVID, D10
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Left groin, D10
- Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Devers (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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