• The Rays are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Rays TV Channel: NESN | RATV

The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on June 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Red Sox are 27-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 36-28 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 1-1, 4.36 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 5-2, 2.99 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+20.40 Units / 227% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.50 Units / 79% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+17.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 27-36 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -10.96% ROI).

• 27-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.1 Units / -23.98% ROI
• 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -13.35% ROI
• 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 4.12% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 36-28 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 12.8% ROI).

• 39-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 14.78% ROI
• 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -4.36% ROI
• 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -4.94% ROI

Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are just 2-20 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Red Sox are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 7-20 (.259) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

The Red Sox are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 14-9 (.609) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Red Sox (eighth in runs allowed).

The Rays are 23-9 (.719) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Rays are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Rays are 30-2 (.938) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .467 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .687 (2,438 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .184 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .374 this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have 155 extra-base hits out of 551 total hits (just 28%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have 108 extra-base hits out of 382 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.89 runs per game (58/65) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .271 (579 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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