• The Red Sox are -115 favorites vs the Rays
• Red Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Rays TV Channel: NESN | RATV

The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on June 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Red Sox are 27-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 34-28 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 5-3, 3.24 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 3-0, 5.23 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+22.40 Units / 320% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.45 Units / 54% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.95 Units / 142% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+20.50 Units / 228% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+12.10 Units / 61% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.50 Units / 81% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+16.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 27-34 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -8.71% ROI).

• 27-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -21.72% ROI
• 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -10.73% ROI
• 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.37% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 34-28 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 10.79% ROI).

• 37-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 12.53% ROI
• 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.4% ROI
• 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -8.02% ROI

Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are just 2-20 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Red Sox are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Red Sox are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Red Sox are just 1-30 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Rays are 21-9 (.700) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Rays are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Rays are 30-5 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .187 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .360 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have drawn walks in 8% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .271 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 108 extra-base hits out of 377 total hits (just 29%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have 150 extra-base hits out of 532 total hits (just 28%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.90 runs per game (57/63) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 35 double plays in 438 opportunities (8%) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .275 (561 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH this season (1,598 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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