- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Red Sox / Rays TV Channel: NESN | RATV
The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on September 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are 83-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 80-69 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 7-4, 3.37 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 9-6, 4.27 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -200 | O 7 +105 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -125 | -125 |
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Sogard has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+21.50 Units / 269% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Richie Palacios has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+33.00 Units / 367% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.65 Units / 64% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 away games (+3.60 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 72-77 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -1.56% ROI).
- 83-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -2.84% ROI
- 70-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.55 Units / -10.37% ROI
- 79-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 1.28% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 80-69 against the Run Line (+21.7 Units / 12.02% ROI).
- 93-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.2 Units / 10.63% ROI
- 69-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -9.18% ROI
- 77-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.48% ROI
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are 30-24 (.556) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (seventh fewest runs allowed).
The Red Sox are 69-2 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are 45-33 (.577) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox are 13-57 (.186) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Rays are 61-31 (.663) after a win this season — best in MLB.
The Rays are 13-47 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Rays are 45-18 (.714) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Red Sox (19th in runs scored).
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Red Sox have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Red Sox have won 77% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — highest in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .178 with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .269 with two outs this season — best in MLB.
The Rays are batting .199 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters are slugging .270 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (676.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .286 (5,557 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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