- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Red Sox vs Reds Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Reds TV Channel: NESN | RDTV
The Boston Red Sox (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on March 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Red Sox are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 0-1 ATS.
Red Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Red Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 -105 | -135 |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -115 | +115 |
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.25 Units / 60% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 87 of their last 155 games (+9.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 64.52% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Reds vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | +400 |
| Roman Anthony (BOS) | +400 |
| Eugenio Suarez (CIN) | +400 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | +425 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | +425 |
Reds vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Roman Anthony (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Willson Contreras (BOS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Reds vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Willson Contreras (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Reds vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Sonny Gray (BOS) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are 198-14 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Reds are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 11-121 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Reds are just 20-38 (.345) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
The Red Sox batted .254 in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have 188 extra-base hits out of 431 total hits (44%) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
The Red Sox batted .280 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .341 (45 PA’s) with bases empty in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Reds hitters do not have an extra-base hit out of 8 total hits against RHP in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 46% in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Red Sox pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.84 (705.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .228 against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 6% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Reds have allowed 9.00 runs per game (18/2) in the postseason — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Red Sox vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
