Red Sox vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 29

Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz races to steal second base during the first inning of a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays, Sunday, July 28, 2024, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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The Boston Red Sox (Not Found) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (Not Found) on March 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Red Sox are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 1-1 ATS.

Red Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Red Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red SoxNot Found Not FoundO Not Found Not FoundNot Found
Reds Not Found Not FoundU Not Found Not FoundNot Found

Red Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.20 Units / 205% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 87 of their last 155 games (+9.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 1-1 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 2.5% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -12.07% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 1-1 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -9.26% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 7.5% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Reds vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Eugenio Suarez (CIN) +360
Willson Contreras (BOS) +375
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) +400
Roman Anthony (BOS) +400
Trevor Story (BOS) +400

Reds vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trevor Story (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Willson Contreras (BOS) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Caleb Durbin (BOS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Sal Stewart (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Reds vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras (BOS) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Trevor Story (BOS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Eugenio Suarez (CIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220

Reds vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhett Lowder (CIN) 4.5 +110 4.5 -150
Connelly Early (BOS) 6.5 +130 6.5 -165

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox are just 6-203 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Red Sox are 198-14 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Reds are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 11-121 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Reds are just 20-38 (.345) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 8-125 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Red Sox batted .258 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had 81 extra-base hits out of 186 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had an OBP of .326 (1,777 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Reds hitters do not have an extra-base hit out of 8 total hits against RHP in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .341 (45 PA’s) with bases empty in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Reds hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .178 (45 PA’s) with bases empty in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.84 (705.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Red Sox pitchers had allowed 164 home runs in the 2025 season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .228 against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 9.00 (16.0 IP) in the postseason — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.68.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.