- The Red Sox (54-54) are -145 favorites vs the Royals (42-65)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi (5-3), 4.10 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (4-7), 4.69 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Red Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 54-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 48-59 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -115 | -145 |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | U 9.5 -105 | +120 |
Red Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 77.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 30 away games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 41 away games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 away games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 60 games (+11.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Royals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Royals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 55 away games (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 79 games (+7.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 away games (+6.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 79 games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 46 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+14.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 47 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 56-52 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 2.9% ROI).
- 54-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.09% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 48-59 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -15.41% ROI).
- 42-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -12.96% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.46% ROI
Nathan Eovaldi: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (9/87) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 69% (2,979/4,323) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (63 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 68% (1,305/1,930) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (27/76) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (19-for-38) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .338 — first Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has not allowed a home run in any of the last 22.2 innings he’s appeared — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 60.0.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (37/106) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Red Sox are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Red Sox are just 139-20 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Red Sox are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Red Sox are just 6-22 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Royals are just 1-51 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 19-34 (.358) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Royals are just 5-48 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .753 (7,027 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .356 (1,303 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 531 strikeouts in 2,781 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .370 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Royals hitters are slugging just .243 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (2,766 batted balls) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
The Red Sox have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.56 (362.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 1,003 of 10,271 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have walked 412 of 4,144 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Neck, Day-to-Day
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D15
- Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D60
- Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
- Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Groin, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Robert Refsnyder (Red Sox): Knee, D10
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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