- The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta, 12.27 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen, 3.85 ERA
The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Red Sox vs Tigers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Red Sox are 9-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-7 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Red Sox | +1.5 -200 | O 9.5 -105 | -110 |
Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 9.5 -115 | -110 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 133 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 10-5 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 33.71% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 35.62% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -3.65% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -11.59% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 15.75% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 42.75% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -53.38% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta walked 73 of 773 batters (9%) last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (512/1,214) when behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Greinke had a strikeout rate of just 26% (73/281) with two-strikes last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 146 opportunities (4%) last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — second Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen had a strike rate of just 62% (234/377) when he’s behind in the count last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen walked 14 of 107 batters (13%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen walked 15 of 91 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
The average home run distance against Michael Lorenzen last season was 388.1 feet — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 397.8
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 5-63 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Red Sox are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 4-65 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Red Sox are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 31-50 (.383) on the road last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Tigers are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox batted .265 against LHP last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Red Sox batted .272 at home last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .290 (2,893 PA’s) at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 5.24 (663.1 IP) against division opponents last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
The Red Sox have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Red Sox pitchers allowed 357 barreled balls last season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Red Sox vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
